Anyway, the Aluminum Pole for best performance** goes to Jerry Palm at CBS Sports, who picked 3 of the Final Four, both finalists, and Kentucky to win for a total of 146 points.
Also finishing in the money were Ken Pomeroy (second with 137 points) and Jeff Sagarin (third with 135 points). Among the celebrity brackets, Common did the best with 126 points, good for 11th overall. The consolation prize for the last-place finisher goes to Dennis Dodd, who finished with 57 points. For reference, a "chalk bracket" -- always picking the higher seed -- would have netted you an even 120 points, good for 19th out of the 36 entries.
Since this is allegedly an analytics blog, let's see if celebrities, experts or analytical systems did a better job on average predicting the tournament.
|% > Chalk||40%||44%||73%|
Here, "% > Chalk" means the percentage of brackets that scored above the 120 points a pure chalk bracket would have earned. So, on average, you would have been better off copying one of the analytical brackets than one of the expert brackets.
And, just for the hell of it -- and because I just figured out how to code tables in HTML -- let's compare the performances of the experts by media outlet.
|% > Chalk||63%||33%||0%|
CBS Sports has the best average score and the most brackets above the chalk threshold, although there is a wide spread of scores, ranging from Palm's 146 to Dodd's 57.
Just something to keep in mind next Selection Sunday.
*-Mercifully, in my mind. If I run this next year, there will be none of this "manual bracket scoring" crap.
**-I just want to be clear on something. There is not, nor was there ever, an actual aluminum pole. I was actually asked about this.